The Oscar monologues, part V: Sam Blair

February 28, 2014

I already had this worked up, Phil. I tried to copy & paste it in the order you wanted, but the result was not pretty, so I’ll have to send it like this . Just say I’m a retired college counselor at LR Central High & an armchair critic. Thanks.

BEST PICTURE:
Will win – 12 Years a Slave
Could win – Gravity
Should win – 12 Years a Slave
Should be here – Mud

BEST ACTOR:
Will win – Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Could win – Leonardo diCaprio, Wolf of Wall Street
Should win – Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Should be here – Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips

BEST ACTRESS:
Will win – Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine [a lock]
Should win – Judi Dench, Philomena
Should be here – Brie Larson, Short Term 12

SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Will win – Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club [a lock]
Should win – Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
Should be here – Daniel Bruehl, Rush

SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Will win – Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
Could win – Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Should win – Lupita Nyong’o
Should be here – Oprah Winfrey, The Butler

BEST DIRECTION:
Will win – Gravity (Alfonso Cuaron)
Could win – 12 Years a Slave (Steve McQueen)
Should win – Gravity (Cuaron)
Should be here – Mud (Jeff Nichols)

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
Will win – American Hustle
Could win – Her
Should win – American Hustle
Should be here – Mud

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
Will win – 12 Years a Slave
Could win – Philomena
Should win – 12 Years a Slave
Should be here – August: Osage County

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE:
Will win – 20 Feet from Stardom
Could win – The Act of Killing
Should win – The Act of Killing
Should be here – Stories We Tell

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
Will win – Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium)
Could win – The Great Beauty (Italy)
Should win – [? no opinion; have seen only one of the nominees]
Should be here – Wadjda (Saudi Arabia)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE:
Will win – Frozen
Could win – The Wind Rises
Should win – The Wind Rises
Should be here – [no opinion]

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:
Will win – Gravity [a lock]
Should win – Prisoners
Should be here – Lone Survivor

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:
Will win – Gravity [a lock]
Should win – Gravity
Should be here – [no opinion]


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