Our Armchair Critic’s Oscar nom picks …

January 9, 2013

For you dengenerate gamblers out there.

My predictions in the top categories only are listed in order of likelihood of being nominated.
* = Locks; bet on it.

BEST PICTURE: (guessing 8 will be nominated, maybe 9)
*Lincoln
*Argo
*Zero Dark 30
*Les Miserables
*Life of Pi
*Silver Linings Playbook
Django Unchained
Beasts of the Southern Wild
alt: Amour
best longshot: Skyfall

BEST DIRECTION:
*Zero Dark 30, Kathryn Bigelow
*Argo, Ben Affleck
*Lincoln, Stephen Spielberg
*Life of Pi, Ang Lee
Amour, Michael Haneke
alt: Les Miserables, Tom Hooper
longshot: Django Unchained, Quentin Tarantino

BEST ACTOR:
*Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln
*Denzel Washington, Flight
Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
John Hawkes, The Sessions
Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
alt: Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
longshot: Richard Gere, Arbitrage

BEST ACTRESS:
*Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark 30
*Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
Marion Cotillard, Rust & Bone
Naomi Watts, The Impossible
Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
alt: Quenvzhane Walls, Beasts of the Southern Wild
longshot: Helen Mirren, Hitchcock

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
*Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
*Robert DeNiro, Silver Linings Playbook
*Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
Alan Arkin, Argo
Javier Bardem, Skyfall
alt: Matthew McConaghey, Magic Mike
longshot: Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
*Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables
*Sally Field, Lincoln
*Amy Adams, The Master
*Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Judi Dench, Skyfall
alt: Maggie Smith, Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
longshot: Ann Dowd, Compliance

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
*Zero Dark 30/ Mark Boal
*Moonrise Kingdom/ Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola
*Amour/ Michael Haneke
Django Unchained/ Quentin Tarantino
The Master/ Paul Anderson
alt: Flight/ John Katina
longshot: Middle of Nowhere/ Ava DuVernay

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
*Lincoln/ Tony Kushner
*Argo/ Chris Terrio
*Silver Linings Playbook/ David Russell
Beasts of the Southern Wild/ Benh Zeitlin
Life of Pi/ David Magee
alt: The Perks of Being a Wallflower/ Stephen Chbosky
longshot: Bernie/ Skip Hollandsworth

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:
*Amour (Austria)
*Intouchables (France)
No (Chile)
A Royal Affair (Denmark)
War Witch (Canada)
alt: Beyond These Hills (Romania)


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